Financing the NHS has been a growing market for asset finance
providers in recent years, fuelled by the expansion of NHS
funding, increased marketing by the industry and a growing
positive image among many NHS Trusts. Reflecting that, the
FLAs NHS Forum has been one of its most active groups since its
inception. The NHS Purchasing and Supplies Agency estimates
that around half a billion pounds of asset finance a year is taken
out by the NHS.
So I would like to write an article explaining that the outlook is
brilliant and the future looks benign. But you would probably
rather that I tried to be realistic, so here goes.
First, we need to look at the financial outlook. It is quite clear
that despite, and to an extent because of, the massive growth in
NHS funding since 2001, there is a financial crisis in the NHS. Its
roots seem to lie much more in management and political failures
than lack of funds, but it is causing changes in behaviour that
often cause difficulties for finance providers: late payment on
transactions, concerns about the financial viability of Trusts, and
other problems.
This crisis looks set to get worse before it gets better. Some time
this year, possibly in July as in previous reviews, whoever is
Chancellor of the Exchequer at the time will announce the results
of the governments review of its spending priorities for the next
three years. These have previously been the occasions for
announcing massive boosts in NHS spending. The Treasury has
been putting out none too subtle signals for months that, despite
Gordon Browns undoubted attachment to the NHS, the 2007
Comprehensive Spending Review (CSR), as its known, will be
different. The rate of growth in NHS spending will slow
dramatically. In current political language that will be described as
a cut, though spending will probably continue to grow in real
terms. But the deceleration will feel to many in the NHS like a cut.
That could impact on the demand for asset finance in different
ways. To the extent that spending for NHS activities is curtailed,
the associated demand for equipment to be financed will also fall.
On the other hand, Trusts may also look for alternative sources of
finance in the absence of grant funding, and asset finance is well
placed to fill the gap. So the CSR is something to think about
when youre reviewing your marketing strategy.
Second, the NHS continues to convert NHS Trusts into
Foundation Hospital Trusts (FHT). There are now 58 and
Monitor, the regulator of FHTs, is currently considering
applications from a further 28. And the government continues to
say that its goal is that all Trusts will achieve FHT status.
As everyone in this market knows, one novel aspect of FHTs,
compared with traditional Trusts, is that they can borrow in their
own name and are not backed by a government guarantee.
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Its more like lending to the private sector but sadly not identical.
FHTs can be wound up but we have been asking since 2004 for
the secondary legislation that will set out what would happen if
that happened to a FHT. The FLA met the then Minister of Health
in November 2006 and he promised legislation in 2007.
Were now talking to the Department of Health about its plans.
We have two major concerns. It is not clear that the financial
obligations of a traditional Trust are carried over when it becomes
a FHT. And it isnt clear that financial obligations will be
honoured if a FHT is wound up, and if they are, how that will be
organised. Its worth remembering that winding up doesnt
necessarily mean the Trust, is, in the vernacular, going bust. It may
be done as an NHS reorganisation.
We do know that there is one major complicating factor you
dont encounter in lending to the private sector. Understandably
the government wants to guarantee that healthcare will not suffer
if a FHT is wound up. So equipment needed in meeting that
pledge has to stay in place, if it is vital for the purpose. How that
interacts with honouring asset finance contracts is yet to be made
clear. Nor has the department yet signalled that it understands our
concerns and has solutions. But we will continue to press for the
legislation to be clear on our concerns.
One bright part of this picture is that Monitor is doing an
excellent job. It has set up a very clear and transparent financial
regime which seems to be supplying finance providers with the
information they need about Trusts finances, and it is paying
close attention to the Trusts that are in difficulties. And it has
demonstrated a will to take firm action when its needed.
The last point I want to make about the NHS market concerns
the coming change of tenant at 10 Downing Street. Since Gordon
Brown appears to be headed for a coronation as Labour leader,
its worth thinking about what this implies for the NHS. He has
made it very clear that he is a strong supporter of the NHS and
that he does not believe that the market can substitute for the
public sector in health provision for the nation. FHTs may not be
his favourite part of the NHS, given that that is his view.
Reportedly, the Treasury fought hard to limit FHTs borrowing
powers back in 2003. So could we be in for yet another large-scale
reorganisation? Slightly oddly, the Conservatives are saying they
would retain FHTs, so there may be more change if Labour
continues in power than if the Conservatives regain control!
All in all, we are in for an interesting time in the NHS market.
Enjoy!
CRAIG PICKERING
PRINCIPAL CONSULTANT
FLA
WWW.FLA.ORG.UK
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